← Wallets
−$112Yes · avg 11¢ → 11¢ · $5,795+$3,361Yes · avg 3.6¢ → 26¢ · $3,885−$11.5kYes · avg 47¢ → 12¢ · $3,752−$24Yes · avg 71¢ → 70¢ · $3,601−$13Yes · avg 90¢ → 90¢ · $2,423+$275Yes · avg 8.3¢ → 11¢ · $1,105 · 0 proven with, 1 against+$67Yes · avg 18¢ → 20¢ · $876+$188Yes · avg 1.9¢ → 2.5¢ · $749
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +7.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+7.8 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$32.6k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$205.7k
Last 30 days −$30.4k · $164.87M volume · 123,549 trades · since Nov 08, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 440 closed
−$181.8k
Open P&L · 43 positions
−$24.5k
Closed-position win rate
26%
440 closed
Wallet age · markets
350d
475 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 0.8 | +7.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 78¢ | $10.5k | missed |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 90.5¢ | $12.0k | missed |
 Knicks vs. Cavaliers | LOW BUY Knicks @ 45¢ | $10.1k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf49ce4…