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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 9% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed
$12.0k
SELL No @ 90.5¢ · 13,251 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet TradingWave took No (sell) for $12.0k at an average 90.5¢. At that price the market implied a 9% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
90.5¢
Implied odds
9.5%
As American odds
+953 no vig
Size
$12.0k
Placed
May 31, 13:58 EDT
Market close
Jul 06, 20:12 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
TradingWave
Tx
0x3c3d30c0…
This wallet's graded record
1/3+7.8 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $22.5k0% wayyt109d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.0k0% 0x4e8b…05bd109d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $39.0k0% qubine109d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.6k0% lck111109d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $22.1k0% rodrigr28109d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $13.3k98% SunlineTicker109d agoexcluded