← Wallets
−$23Yes · avg 22¢ → 22¢ · $977
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -7.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-7.8 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$58.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1,830
Last 30 days +$6,927 · $218.5k volume · 154 trades · since Dec 30, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$12.0k
Open P&L · 21 positions
−$9,826
Closed-position win rate
81%
59 closed
Wallet age · markets
662d
72 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -7.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 92.2¢ | $15.9k | missed |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 93.9¢ | $20.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xca8124…