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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -1.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-1.4 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$504.4k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$349.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $8.01M volume · 2,642 trades · since May 02, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.13M
Open P&L · 49 positions
−$775.0k
Closed-position win rate
88%
58 closed
Wallet age · markets
175d
100 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | -1.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | MED BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $461.3k 29.3× usual |
excluded |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 10¢ | $13.5k | missed |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ | $18.0k | called |
 Canadiens vs. Lightning | LOW BUY Lightning @ 58¢ | $11.6k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe3c9c8…