← Wallets
−$25No · avg 91¢ → 88¢ · $885+$3Yes · avg 28¢ → 29¢ · $295−$10No · avg 66¢ → 64¢ · $267−$26Yes · avg 37¢ → 28¢ · $74 · 0 proven with, 1 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -19.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-19.4 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$12.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±39.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$15.3k
Last 30 days +$12 · $256.2k volume · 260 trades · since Oct 02, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$30.0k
Open P&L · 43 positions
−$14.7k
Closed-position win rate
69%
111 closed
Wallet age · markets
753d
154 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -19.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 81¢ | $12.3k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x695048…