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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +58.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+58.1 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$30.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$113.3k
Last 30 days +$4,765 · $902.8k volume · 147 trades · since Sep 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$176.3k
Open P&L · 19 positions
−$58.6k
Closed-position win rate
53%
51 closed
Wallet age · markets
767d
71 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 0.8 | +58.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 55¢ | $19.7k | called |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY Yes @ 29¢ | $10.3k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd105f1…