← Wallets
+$31.8kYes · avg 53¢ → 69¢ · $143.9k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.5 wins, so it did -13.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
-13.7 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
2.5
Flagged volume
$300.3k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$15.9k
Last 30 days +$37.6k · $5.15M volume · 1,408 trades · since Apr 07, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$20.2k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$28.0k
Closed-position win rate
39%
18 closed
Wallet age · markets
200d
23 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 2 | 2.5 | -13.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | MED SELL Yes @ 75¢ | $32.0k | pending |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | MED SELL Yes @ 74¢ | $34.2k | pending |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 18¢ | $18.5k | missed |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 13¢ | $11.9k | missed |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 10¢ | $10.4k | called |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 1.8¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $21.1k | called |
 Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Knicks @ 89¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $60.3k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $60.0k 3.0× usual |
called |
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