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What this means. A wallet put $18.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.6k
BUY Yes @ 1.8¢ · 1,031,644 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet owenliang666 took Yes (buy) for $18.6k at an average 1.8¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 2¢ means
2%chance the market gave
+5456American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 1.8¢
- Implied odds
- 1.8%
- As American odds
- +5456 no vig
- Size
- $18.6k
- Placed
- Jun 11, 22:45 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 18:14 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- owenliang666
- Tx
- 0x2d4a202c…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-13.7 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $711.9k 7.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $37.5k | excluded |