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milkywaybet

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +5.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+5.5 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$302.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$10.2k
Last 30 days +$307 · $2.37M volume · 1,724 trades · since May 02, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$10.1k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
97%
314 closed
Wallet age · markets
175d
308 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports110.9+5.5 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Falcons vs. PackersLOW BUY Falcons @ 99.9¢ $72.9k100% 29d agoexcluded
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?LOW BUY Yes @ 97.8¢ $195.6k
2.7× usual
98% 132d agoexcluded
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?LOW BUY No @ 94.5¢ $33.4k94% 132d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x6d557f…