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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +5.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+5.5 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$302.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$10.2k
Last 30 days +$307 · $2.37M volume · 1,724 trades · since May 02, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$10.1k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
97%
314 closed
Wallet age · markets
175d
308 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +5.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $72.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 97.8¢ | $195.6k 2.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 94.5¢ | $33.4k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x6d557f…