← Wallets
+$216Petr Yan · avg 58¢ → 58¢ · $25.2k+$147Lone'er Kavanagh · avg 52¢ → 52¢ · $15.3k+$30Alexander Volkanovski · avg 50¢ → 50¢ · $15.2k+$119Losene Keita · avg 42¢ → 42¢ · $10.1k+$230Bolaji Oki · avg 49¢ → 50¢ · $7,732+$3Rizvan Kuniev · avg 46¢ → 46¢ · $243−$76TEC Esports · avg 40¢ → 30¢ · $213
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did +10.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+10.7 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$324.1k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$54.1k
Last 30 days −$42.3k · $10.38M volume · 13,430 trades · since May 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$2.27M
Open P&L · 186 positions
−$2.31M
Closed-position win rate
94%
228 closed
Wallet age · markets
149d
404 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 1.7 | +10.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Timberwolves vs. Magic | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 48¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
| Bulls vs. Bucks | LOW BUY Bucks @ 54¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
 Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Playoffs | LOW BUY Eternal Fire @ 63¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 51¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
 Bills vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 59¢ | $29.5k | excluded |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | LOW BUY Team Vitality @ 47¢ | $39.3k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Jets @ 51¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Spread: Texans (-2.5) | LOW BUY Texans @ 52¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | LOW BUY Bengals @ 51¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | LOW BUY Bears @ 53¢ | $14.3k | called |
| Rams vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Broncos @ 50¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) | LOW BUY Bills @ 51¢ | $12.8k | called |
 Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 29¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Spurs @ 47¢ | $55.4k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 64¢ | $16.5k | missed |
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