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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did -49.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-49.9 pts
Called / graded
0/4
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$69.4k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$10.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.06M volume · 128 trades · since May 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$9,490
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$19.3k
Closed-position win rate
44%
18 closed
Wallet age · markets
147d
26 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 0 | 2.0 | -49.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | MED BUY No @ 21¢ | $33.8k 2.7× usual |
missed |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $12.4k | missed |
 Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 67¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $12.9k | missed |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xdb27bbdd185b18be3319097e1fc40300bbecbce3"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xdb27bbdd185b18be3319097e1fc40300bbecbce3.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xdb27bb…