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What this means. A wallet put $12.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.9k
BUY Yes @ 64¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet Bobbyal took Yes (buy) for $12.9k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 64¢ means
64%chance the market gave
−180American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 64¢
- Implied odds
- 64.3%
- As American odds
- −180 no vig
- Size
- $12.9k
- Placed
- Jun 02, 02:49 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 02:36 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Bobbyal
- Tx
- 0x4d565c9d…
This wallet's graded record
0/4-49.9 pts
expected 2.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 94.5¢ | $33.4k | called | |
| MED BUY No @ 82¢ | $94.2k 3.6× usual |
called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $12.9k | called | |
| MED BUY No @ 82¢ | $34.5k | called | |
| MED BUY No @ 82¢ | $41.7k | called |