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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did -95.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-95.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$49.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$293
Last 30 days +$0 · $586.2k volume · 46 trades · since Feb 21, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$13.0k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$0
Closed-position win rate
48%
23 closed
Wallet age · markets
246d
12 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -95.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $12.1k | missed |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0e8831…