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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -49.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-49.9 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$84.3k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$34.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $796.7k volume · 603 trades · since May 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$29.4k
Open P&L · 30 positions
−$62.2k
Closed-position win rate
76%
29 closed
Wallet age · markets
164d
59 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | -49.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo | LOW BUY Alejandro Tabilo @ 35¢ | $19.2k | missed |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL No @ 51¢ | $15.4k | missed |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 37¢ | $24.4k | called |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 35¢ | $25.3k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x25ed7c…