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+$245No · avg 63¢ → 82¢ · $1,038−$1,476Yes · avg 19¢ → 6¢ · $673+$156Flavio Cobolli · avg 46¢ → 68¢ · $484+$6Yes · avg 36¢ → 36¢ · $406−$78Yes · avg 10¢ → 8.5¢ · $387−$65Yes · avg 6.4¢ → 5.4¢ · $345+$58Yes · avg 37¢ → 46¢ · $300+$6No · avg 91.4¢ → 97¢ · $106
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -20.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-20.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$154.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±40.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$147.3k
Last 30 days −$28.2k · $11.29M volume · 36,561 trades · since Apr 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$364.7k
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$146.7k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
191d
15824 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -20.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ | $27.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Under @ 79¢ | $21.8k | called | |
| LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ | $22.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Under @ 71¢ | $16.0k | called | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 85¢ | $12.8k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $13.0k | missed | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 85¢ | $10.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 80¢ | $15.9k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x00c8ef…