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Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $15.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?excluded$15.2k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 15,247 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-00c8ef took Yes (sell) for $15.2k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $15.2k
- Placed
- Jun 21, 02:11 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 21, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- omnibus-00c8ef
- Tx
- 0xaed1cfac…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-20.0 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $29.6k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $83.0k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $38.2k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.9k | excluded |