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+$2No · avg 96¢ → 97.8¢ · $127
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.0 wins, so it did +96.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+96.9 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$38.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$12.1k
Last 30 days +$2 · $505.4k volume · 495 trades · since Mar 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$12.1k
Open P&L · 1 positions
+$2
Closed-position win rate
28%
83 closed
Wallet age · markets
214d
48 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | +96.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL No @ 96.9¢ | $19.4k | called |
 Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc1de2e…