← Wallets
+$18Yes · avg 3.1¢ → 8¢ · $29+$14Yes · avg 3.1¢ → 7¢ · $25+$12Yes · avg 3.1¢ → 6.5¢ · $23+$5Yes · avg 3.1¢ → 5.3¢ · $13+$6Yes · avg 3.1¢ → 10¢ · $9−$4Yes · avg 3.1¢ → 1.9¢ · $7−$5Yes · avg 3.1¢ → 1.8¢ · $7
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.3 wins, so it did +68.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+68.2 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.3
Flagged volume
$10.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$5,498
Last 30 days −$185 · $23.35M volume · 58,107 trades · since Jan 11, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$480.3k
Open P&L · 17 positions
−$175
Closed-position win rate
64%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
286d
816 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.3 | +68.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY Yes @ 32¢ | $10.5k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8740bd…