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What this means. A wallet put $21.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 22% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.9k
BUY No @ 22¢ · 100,602 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet NS13 took No (buy) for $21.9k at an average 22¢. At that price the market implied a 22% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 22¢ means
22%chance the market gave
+359American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 22¢
- Implied odds
- 21.8%
- As American odds
- +359 no vig
- Size
- $21.9k
- Placed
- Jun 06, 20:31 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 02:38 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- NS13
- Tx
- 0x633b80d2…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-0.2 pts
expected 9.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -22 ptsNo price · entry 22¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $225.1k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.3k | excluded |