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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did +25.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+25.6 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$374.8k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$348.5k
Last 30 days +$997 · $2.01M volume · 1,575 trades · since Oct 10, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$424.4k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$75.5k
Closed-position win rate
90%
10 closed
Wallet age · markets
379d
12 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 3 | 2.0 | +25.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $75.5k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | MED BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $97.4k | excluded |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $45.5k | called |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $11.5k | missed |
 Knicks vs. Spurs | MED BUY Knicks @ 34¢ | $41.3k | called |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | MED BUY Knicks @ 37¢ | $103.6k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xdc71be…