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+$548Yes · avg 5.2¢ → 5.5¢ · $9,299+$980Yes · avg 1.8¢ → 2.1¢ · $6,206+$3,513Yes · avg 11¢ → 46¢ · $4,625+$134Yes · avg 3.7¢ → 4.2¢ · $1,049
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -0.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-0.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$39.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1,957
Last 30 days +$2,172 · $6.65M volume · 4,477 trades · since Mar 06, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$2,509
Open P&L · 14 positions
−$1,971
Closed-position win rate
15%
55 closed
Wallet age · markets
232d
— markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 35¢ | $11.1k | missed |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 64¢ | $28.7k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2ccc6e…