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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did -50.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-50.0 pts
Called / graded
0/4
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$680.8k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$324.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $7.45M volume · 1,700 trades · since Dec 29, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$494.6k
Open P&L · 15 positions
−$812.4k
Closed-position win rate
59%
158 closed
Wallet age · markets
—
168 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 0 | 0.9 | -45.5 pts |
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.1 | -54.5 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x966cd8…