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What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spurs vs. Thundermissed
$50.0k
BUY Thunder @ 68¢ · 73,529 shares
Size ≥ $10k2.2× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet balldontlieee took Thunder (buy) for $50.0k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $50.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−213American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
68¢
Implied odds
68.0%
As American odds
−213 no vig
Size
$50.0k
Placed
May 18, 19:29 EDT
Market close
May 18, 20:30 EDT
Result
Spurs
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
balldontlieee
Tx
0x1d68dbb4…
This wallet's graded record
0/4-50.0 pts
expected 2.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -68 pts
Thunder price · entry 68¢ · resolved Spurs
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 68¢ · $50.0k WHALE $50.0K @ 68¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spurs vs. ThunderMED SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $599.4k
11.4× usual
0% Katello158d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $30.8k0% 0x0limit158d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% 0xd2b5…b7b3158d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $60.4k
3.5× usual
0% 0xe5ef…9e7a158d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $19.6k0% nbaripped158d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderHIGH SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $284.2k
3.4× usual
0% 0x971a…447d NEW158d agoexcluded