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What this means. A wallet put $60.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$60.0k
BUY No @ 47¢ · 127,660 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)2.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet balldontlieee took No (buy) for $60.0k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $60.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 47.0%
- As American odds
- +113 no vig
- Size
- $60.0k
- Placed
- May 16, 09:53 EDT
- Market close
- May 16, 10:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- balldontlieee
- Tx
- 0x1c669c0f…
This wallet's graded record
0/4-50.0 pts
expected 2.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -47 ptsNo price · entry 47¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $60.1k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |