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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -25.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-25.9 pts
Called / graded
0/4
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$518.7k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$237.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $24.94M volume · 8,507 trades · since Jan 30, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 453 closed
+$3.71M
Open P&L · 445 positions
−$3.92M
Closed-position win rate
88%
453 closed
Wallet age · markets
268d
881 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 0 | 0.6 | -18.8 pts |
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -47.0 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0dcf5b…