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What this means. A wallet put $62.3k on Spirit, at a price that gave it a 82% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$62.3k
BUY Spirit @ 82¢ · 76,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)3.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet ThreeLions took Spirit (buy) for $62.3k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 82% chance for that side. The market resolved Aurora Gaming. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $62.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 82¢ means
82%chance the market gave
−456American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spirit wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 82.0%
- As American odds
- −456 no vig
- Size
- $62.3k
- Placed
- Jun 12, 13:22 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 12, 13:25 EDT
- Result
- Aurora Gaming
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ThreeLions
- Tx
- 0x7b476852…
This wallet's graded record
0/4-25.9 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -82 ptsSpirit price · entry 82¢ · resolved Aurora Gaming
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $75.4k 2.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $33.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99¢ | $18.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Aurora Gaming @ 99¢ | $51.3k | excluded |