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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -68.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-68.4 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$68.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$36.8k
Last 30 days −$11.4k · $1.92M volume · 711 trades · since May 02, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$247.1k
Open P&L · 78 positions
−$284.3k
Closed-position win rate
87%
92 closed
Wallet age · markets
175d
171 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -68.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | LOW BUY MOUZ @ 48¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | LOW BUY FUT Esports @ 58¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | LOW SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage | LOW BUY MOUZ @ 68¢ | $12.5k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x54c23f…