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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$228.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$23.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.22M volume · 1,016 trades · since Jan 17, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$3,980
Open P&L · 10 positions
−$25.0k
Closed-position win rate
46%
39 closed
Wallet age · markets
280d
52 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Spurs @ 46¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $68.8k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Knicks @ 35¢ | $24.1k | called |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $46.4k | excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $26.9k | called |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 43¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
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