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What this means. A wallet put $50.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$50.9k
BUY Yes @ 78¢ · 65,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Hyperlong took Yes (buy) for $50.9k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $50.9k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−360American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 78.2%
- As American odds
- −360 no vig
- Size
- $50.9k
- Placed
- Jun 11, 17:41 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 02:38 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Hyperlong
- Tx
- 0x1684f80f…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+12.3 pts
expected 4.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +22 ptsYes price · entry 78¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $225.1k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.3k | excluded |