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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -47.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-47.1 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$55.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$26.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $403.5k volume · 68 trades · since May 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$48.0k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$18.3k
Closed-position win rate
83%
18 closed
Wallet age · markets
169d
23 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -47.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 98.6¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL Yes @ 53¢ | $20.3k | missed |
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | LOW SELL Sean Strickland @ 99.5¢ | $25.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x84d7bd…