← Wallets
−$1,519No · avg 62¢ → 15¢ · $481
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +53.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+53.1 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$87.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$203.3k
Last 30 days +$1,117 · $1.07M volume · 105 trades · since Feb 27, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$224.3k
Open P&L · 11 positions
−$20.7k
Closed-position win rate
73%
37 closed
Wallet age · markets
239d
49 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +64.2 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +42.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ | $15.0k | called |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $37.8k 2.2× usual |
called |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x274c45…