VEQT

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did +15.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+15.2 pts

Called / graded

2/2

Expected from price

1.7

Flagged volume

$244.7k

Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.2 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$87.7k

Last 30 days +$97 · $2.07M volume · 659 trades · since Nov 03, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$87.7k

Open P&L · 0 positions

+$0

Closed-position win rate

92%

59 closed

Wallet age · markets

721d

59 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Politics	1	1	0.9	+11.0 pts
Sports	1	1	0.8	+19.3 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢	$10.7k	81%	133d ago	called
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢	$28.3k 2.6× usual	0%	164d ago	excluded
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$28.2k 2.5× usual	0%	164d ago	excluded
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢	$10.9k	91%	167d ago	excluded
Lakers vs. Rockets	LOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢	$11.1k	0%	180d ago	excluded
Lakers vs. Rockets	LOW BUY Rockets @ 95.7¢	$10.9k	96%	180d ago	excluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 89¢	$144.7k 13.1× usual	89%	360d ago	called

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?called

BUY Yes @ 81¢$10.7k

LOW VEQT · 133d ago

Timberwolves vs. Spursexcluded

SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢$28.3k

LOW VEQT · 164d ago

Will Trump visit China by May 15?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$28.2k

LOW VEQT · 164d ago

Will Trump visit China by May 15?excluded

BUY Yes @ 91¢$10.9k

LOW VEQT · 167d ago

Lakers vs. Rocketsexcluded

SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢$11.1k

LOW VEQT · 180d ago

Lakers vs. Rocketsexcluded

BUY Rockets @ 95.7¢$10.9k

LOW VEQT · 180d ago

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?called

BUY Yes @ 89¢$144.7k

MED VEQT · 360d ago

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