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What this means. A wallet put $383.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$383.0k
BUY Yes @ 46¢ · 832,548 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250k3 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet 0x8cb4…1057 took Yes (buy) for $383.0k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $383.0k+3
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 46.0%
- As American odds
- +117 no vig
- Size
- $383.0k
- Placed
- Jun 12, 16:20 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 12, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x8cb4…1057
- Tx
- 0x0865b67f…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+48.9 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +54 ptsYes price · entry 46¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $361.3k 6.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $44.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |