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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$163.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$48.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.08M volume · 6,662 trades · since Jan 07, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$17.8k
Open P&L · 15 positions
−$64.7k
Closed-position win rate
49%
218 closed
Wallet age · markets
290d
229 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $19.7k | called |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
 Golden Knights vs. Ducks | LOW SELL Golden Knights @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $14.1k | called |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xef504e…