← Live flags
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Resolved: Yes
Flags
113
Net whale flow → Yes
+$210.4k
Yes 7d ago → now
—
Category
Sports
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $4.72M 67 flags |
$341.3k 2 wallets |
$388.0k 2 wallets |
| No | $2.67M 21 flags |
$33.5k 1 wallet |
none |
| Not Yes | $1.85M 24 flags |
none | $58.1k 1 wallet |
| Not No | $10.8k 1 flag |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $361.3k 6.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $44.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $44.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $38.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $65.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98.9¢ | $57.2k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ | $298.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98.3¢ | $49.0k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 95.4¢ | $48.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ | $65.4k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $26.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98.7¢ | $26.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 97.5¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 97.5¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $28.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 97.1¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 98.6¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 98.3¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98.5¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 98.2¢ | $702.0k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 98¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $25.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $49.5k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $34.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 79¢ | $197.9k 7.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 93¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 93¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 94¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 94¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 92¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 92.1¢ | $37.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92.4¢ | $36.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $274.7k 6.6× usual |
excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 28¢ | $119.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $99.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 70¢ | $70.1k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 53¢ | $1.50M 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $325.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 50¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $30.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $18.5k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $356.2k 5.8× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $70.5k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $88.7k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $14.6k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $170.0k 3.0× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $18.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $47.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 54¢ | $17.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $16.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $18.9k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $25.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 54¢ | $54.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $12.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $19.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $27.9k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 53¢ | $10.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $94.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $10.1k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $70.0k 2.5× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $14.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $10.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $19.1k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $31.8k | called |
| MED SELL Yes @ 46¢ | $215.9k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $920.0k 4.3× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $20.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $23.5k | called |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $383.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $92.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $17.5k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $33.8k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 54¢ | $123.8k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $117.5k 6.7× usual |
called |
| MED BUY No @ 53¢ | $26.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $20.9k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $31.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $27.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $70.6k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 53¢ | $99.7k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 51¢ | $196.9k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 51¢ | $168.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $26.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $13.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 51¢ | $12.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $11.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 51¢ | $19.4k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 51¢ | $115.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 50¢ | $10.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $12.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $10.0k | called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 113 whale trades on this market totalling $9.26M from 84 wallets. The largest was $1.50M (buy No at 53¢). Most whale money ($4.72M) went to Yes. 68 of 113 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, shakendbake ($1.50M), has called 3 of 6 graded flags overall (-5.9 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-usa-par-2026-06-12-usa).