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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did +82.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+82.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$577.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±38.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$2.58M
Last 30 days +$0 · $18.58M volume · 5,460 trades · since Sep 07, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$3.69M
Open P&L · 21 positions
−$6.27M
Closed-position win rate
100%
15 closed
Wallet age · markets
412d
36 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.2 | +82.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Sean Strickland @ 19¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | MED BUY Sean Strickland @ 18¢ | $70.5k | called |
 Celtics vs. Spurs | MED BUY Celtics @ 42¢ | $243.4k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
 Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | MED BUY Patriots @ 51¢ | $238.3k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0a55f6…