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What this means. A wallet put $243.4k on Celtics, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Celtics vs. Spursexcluded
$243.4k
BUY Celtics @ 42¢ · 579,546 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.5× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet TimeToFire took Celtics (buy) for $243.4k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $243.4k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Celtics wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
42¢
Implied odds
42.0%
As American odds
+138 no vig
Size
$243.4k
Placed
Mar 10, 20:06 EDT
Market close
Mar 10, 20:00 EDT
Result
Spurs
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
TimeToFire
Tx
0xe8f3fdca…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+82.0 pts
expected 0.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -42 pts
Celtics price · entry 42¢ · resolved Spurs
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 42¢ · $243.4k WHALE $243.4K @ 42¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Celtics vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $19.9k0% redvinny227d agoexcluded
Celtics vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $46.9k0% bubulalala227d agoexcluded
Celtics vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $17.1k0% 0x3ae5…ead2227d agoexcluded
Celtics vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $12.2k0% nnahklA227d agoexcluded
Celtics vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $10.9k0% 000.00227d agoexcluded
Celtics vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $10.9k0% Zenhack227d agoexcluded