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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$177.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$55.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.41M volume · 595 trades · since Dec 27, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$96.4k
Open P&L · 69 positions
−$152.4k
Closed-position win rate
55%
192 closed
Wallet age · markets
301d
259 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Celtics vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $17.1k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 60¢ | $10.3k | called |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | LOW SELL Cavaliers @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | LOW BUY Celtics @ 57¢ | $12.0k | called |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 73¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01? | LOW BUY Yes @ 63¢ | $12.7k | called |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | LOW SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢ | $32.7k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Lakers @ 61¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Pistons | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x3ae5b1…