← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $325.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$325.9k
BUY Yes @ 48¢ · 676,366 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $250k4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Latina took Yes (buy) for $325.9k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $325.9k+3
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.2%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $325.9k
- Placed
- Jun 12, 21:02 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 12, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Latina
- Tx
- 0xe1db55e2…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-6.7 pts
expected 3.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +52 ptsYes price · entry 48¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $361.3k 6.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $44.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |