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What this means. A wallet put $361.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$361.3k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 361,702 shares
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)6.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet NiNo999 took Yes (sell) for $361.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $361.3k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $361.3k
- Placed
- Jun 12, 23:46 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 12, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- NiNo999
- Tx
- 0xe77ff8fa…
This wallet's graded record
0/8-53.6 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $44.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $44.5k | excluded |