← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $20.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-4.4 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.9k
BUY No @ 53¢ · 39,459 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet umeax took No (buy) for $20.9k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $20.9k
- Placed
- Jun 12, 05:07 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 12, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- umeax
- Tx
- 0x75d50469…
This wallet's graded record
14/35-4.4 pts
expected 15.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -53 ptsNo price · entry 53¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $361.3k 6.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $44.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |