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What this means. A wallet put $26.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It won. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.7k
BUY Yes @ 49¢ · 54,389 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet CandleHammerDrums took Yes (buy) for $26.7k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $26.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $26.7k
- Placed
- Jun 11, 19:53 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 12, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- CandleHammerDrums
- Tx
- 0xba76e1bc…
This wallet's graded record
11/18+14.3 pts
expected 8.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +51 ptsYes price · entry 49¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $361.3k 6.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $44.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |