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What this means. A wallet put $11.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?excluded
$11.9k
SELL Yes @ 97.1¢ · 12,224 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet mrnobodyinvejoso took Yes (sell) for $11.9k at an average 97.1¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
97.1¢
Implied odds
2.9%
As American odds
+3406 no vig
Size
$11.9k
Placed
Jun 12, 22:13 EDT
Market close
Jun 12, 21:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
mrnobodyinvejoso
Tx
0x6a34be72…

Entry to resolution

Grade -3 pts
Yes price · entry 97.1¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 97.1¢ · $11.9k WHALE $11.9K @ 97.1¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $41.8k
2.1× usual
0% qscbn133d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% ChompChomp888133d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $361.3k
6.4× usual
0% NiNo999133d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% 0x4e95…6b33 NEW133d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.8k0% Vietnamnumber1133d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $44.1k
2.3× usual
0% suntori LOSING133d agoexcluded