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What this means. A wallet put $11.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.9k
SELL Yes @ 97.1¢ · 12,224 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet mrnobodyinvejoso took Yes (sell) for $11.9k at an average 97.1¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 97.1¢
- Implied odds
- 2.9%
- As American odds
- +3406 no vig
- Size
- $11.9k
- Placed
- Jun 12, 22:13 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 12, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- mrnobodyinvejoso
- Tx
- 0x6a34be72…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -3 ptsYes price · entry 97.1¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $361.3k 6.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $44.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |