← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 6. The prices it paid implied about 3.4 wins, so it did -5.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-5.9 pts
Called / graded
3/6
Expected from price
3.4
Flagged volume
$11.06M
Sample size6 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.1 pts std. error.
Graded P&L at their stakes
−$776k6 graded bets in the order they resolved · 3 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? at 57¢) and the edge is -15.7 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
40–60¢
60% vs 54% · n=5
60–80¢
0% vs 65% · n=1
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$3.36M
Last 30 days +$0 · $25.73M volume · 3,642 trades · since May 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$4.46M
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$7.73M
Closed-position win rate
100%
4 closed
Wallet age · markets
153d
9 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | -47.7 pts |
| Sports | 4 | 3 | 2.4 | +14.9 pts |
History
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x5e4dbe95f805e27959532f4845e2e4180017b874"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x5e4dbe95f805e27959532f4845e2e4180017b874.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5e4dbe…