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What this means. A wallet put $549.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. It won. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$549.1k
BUY Yes @ 59¢ · 930,688 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $250k5 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet shakendbake took Yes (buy) for $549.1k at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $549.1k+3
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 59¢ means
59%chance the market gave
−144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 59¢
- Implied odds
- 59.0%
- As American odds
- −144 no vig
- Size
- $549.1k
- Placed
- May 24, 09:59 EDT
- Market close
- May 24, 11:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- shakendbake
- Tx
- 0x38ddebad…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-5.9 pts
expected 3.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +41 ptsYes price · entry 59¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $55.9k 3.3× usual |
excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $757.4k | excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $1.34M 2.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 43¢ | $12.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 44¢ | $33.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 41¢ | $15.6k | excluded |