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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did +59.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+59.3 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$1.85M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$141.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $8.29M volume · 314 trades · since Apr 04, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$197.8k
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$64.5k
Closed-position win rate
47%
236 closed
Wallet age · markets
203d
240 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +59.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 54¢ | $25.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $200.0k 4.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Arizona Diamondbacks @ 44¢ | $22.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 41¢ | $200.0k 4.0× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 58¢ | $200.0k 4.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 34¢ | $10.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 44¢ | $33.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Knicks @ 44¢ | $150.0k 3.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 50¢ | $37.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 37¢ | $50.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Cavaliers @ 36¢ | $117.0k 2.3× usual |
excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Spurs @ 32¢ | $100.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 41¢ | $100.0k 2.0× usual |
called | |
| MED BUY Spurs @ 31¢ | $100.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 54¢ | $100.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 48¢ | $100.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 37¢ | $50.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $60.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 39¢ | $32.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 58¢ | $16.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ | $10.2k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 25¢ | $50.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 37¢ | $50.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 41¢ | $25.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 31¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9b1e03…