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What this means. A wallet put $200.0k on Spurs, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spurs vs. Thunderexcluded
$200.0k
BUY Spurs @ 41¢ · 487,805 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)4× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet FullPicks1 took Spurs (buy) for $200.0k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $200.0k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spurs wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
41¢
Implied odds
41.0%
As American odds
+144 no vig
Size
$200.0k
Placed
May 26, 19:43 EDT
Market close
May 26, 20:30 EDT
Result
Thunder
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
FullPicks1
Tx
0xf4b952ff…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+59.3 pts
expected 0.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -41 pts
Spurs price · entry 41¢ · resolved Thunder
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 41¢ · $200.0k WHALE $200.0K @ 41¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $11.9k0% ThewhitewhaleV2150d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $12.9k0% PS003150d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $14.1k0% mirroredtrade-RocWins150d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderMED BUY Thunder @ 85¢ $140.0k
3.5× usual
85% 0x2c33…0563150d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderMED SELL Thunder @ 91¢ $30.5k9% johnny234150d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 92¢ $10.1k92% mitraa150d agoexcluded