← Wallets
−$250Petr Yan · avg 60¢ → 58¢ · $9,737
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +44.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+44.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$141.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$86.0k
Last 30 days −$286 · $1.95M volume · 1,415 trades · since Dec 02, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$145.3k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$58.8k
Closed-position win rate
67%
82 closed
Wallet age · markets
326d
88 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +44.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Mackenzie Dern @ 65¢ | $24.4k | excluded |
 Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $88.7k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? | LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $17.4k | called |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 98.8¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
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