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What this means. A wallet put $49.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.5k
BUY Yes @ 99¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)2.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Hashbrown took Yes (buy) for $49.5k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $49.5k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−9900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99¢
- Implied odds
- 99.0%
- As American odds
- −9900 no vig
- Size
- $49.5k
- Placed
- Jun 12, 21:53 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 12, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Hashbrown
- Tx
- 0xddb224c5…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+6.9 pts
expected 6.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsYes price · entry 99¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $361.3k 6.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $44.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |