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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -59.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-59.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$90.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$29.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $211.5k volume · 14 trades · since Jun 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$8,537
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$36.9k
Closed-position win rate
75%
4 closed
Wallet age · markets
134d
7 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -59.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $33.4k | missed |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | MED SELL Yes @ 92.1¢ | $37.1k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5a2a5a…